Sunday, April 20, 2008

Most overrated game show ever?

People love Deal or No Deal. I don't know why. Granted it's suspenseful as someone makes or loses thousands in mere seconds. But what I can't stand is that there is an illusion of skill to the game.
The game of odds, hosted by Howie Mandel, calls for a contestant to predict the amount of cash contained in any of 26 sealed briefcases. The top prize for guessing correctly is $1 million.
Predict? Picking the boxes is completely random. It pains me to see contestants agonizing over which box to pick. They're all the same. If you're picking based on anything other than which briefcase girl you like the most, you're wasting your time.

And the offers are similarly uninteresting to me. They're always just slightly higher or lower than the expected value (or average value) of the briefcases left. When you decide to accept or reject the offer, you're really just deciding if you like a guaranteed payout or you like a high variance payout.

Anyway the fact that they turn that spectacle into a half hour or an hour is simply painful to me.


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